Many analysts in the news pride themselves on guessing the course of future events correctly. However, that’s relatively easy to do if you know anything about data analysis, it takes a bit more skill to sufficiently rule out unlikely and impossible outcomes, all of this comes to a head during election season. Seeing as Metro Detroit and the wider state of Michigan as a whole has a series of important elections coming up, it would make sense to help the wider public to know what we should (or, more appropriately shouldn’t) focus on when these elections finally happen. To disclose the selection of these predictions and explain why they’re unlikely would be too voluminous to incorporate into this report, so, their merits will just have to be weighed by the reader and the public at large:
The 2024 United States Presidential election
Kamala Harris will become the first Democrat in American history to secure a win in the electoral college while losing the popular vote, with Donald Trump making many inroads with males of color in all age groups. Trump, being defeated twice in a row will seek to spread his unique brand of politics (dubbed “Trumpism” by political commentators) among the central cities that’ll surely be the fields of battle where Trump will lose his chance at regaining the Presidency. Whether directly funding this new venture or setting up a PAC to do the work for him, this development will undoubtedly signal a terminal decline in the faith of American civics and trust between Democrats and Republicans
The 2025 Detroit Mayoral election
Long time Detroit mayor Mike Duggan will run for a fourth term and will successfully retain his office against a well known political progressive (more than likely Mary Sheffield) and become the longest serving mayor of the city of Detroit since Coleman Young left office. However, his margin of victory will be the smallest margin that he’ll ever achieve as a successful candidate. Seeing his popularity seemingly wane, he’ll decline to run for a fifth term. Instead of opting to leave politics in general after his term ends, he’ll likely use his position as mayor to stump for the governorship of the state of Michigan and publicly relinquish his office to the progressive challenger he defeated in the mayoral election, attempting not only to end his term on a “high” but also attempting to capture the votes of left-wing Michiganders.
The 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial election
Mike Duggan will successfully leverage his former position as Detroit mayor and tout a progressive policy platform to easily outflank and defeat primary opponents, yet, when matched up against a pro-Trumpism candidate from the Republican side, will be defeated in a general election based on the fear among voters that Duggan would only be in the race to give benefits to communities around Metro Detroit instead of every community in Michigan. A Trump-esque GOP challenger would also more than likely attack what he would see as “radical leftist policies” that might play well to certain voters in Metro Detroit but will be met with indifference to the rest of the electorate. A defeat at this level of government would be the only thing that would provoke Duggan to leave politics for good. What his life would be like in this post-political world is hard to determine, but with the sheer size of special boards belonging to special interest groups within the city of Detroit and the wider region could potentially give Duggan a relatively cushy retirement plan with few of the worries or responsibilities of the political wheeling and dealing of elected office.
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